Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.001018 0.001153 0.001295 0.001456 0.001631 0.001817 0.002029
2024-12-15 0.000762 0.000944 0.001148 0.001393 0.001677 0.001995 0.002375
2024-12-22 0.000634 0.000834 0.001069 0.001363 0.001716 0.002124 0.002627
2024-12-29 0.000547 0.000760 0.001020 0.001357 0.001775 0.002271 0.002899
2025-01-05 0.000481 0.000702 0.000983 0.001356 0.001832 0.002411 0.003159
2025-01-12 0.000421 0.000645 0.000938 0.001340 0.001866 0.002519 0.003379
2025-01-19 0.000368 0.000591 0.000891 0.001315 0.001883 0.002603 0.003567
2025-01-26 0.000340 0.000568 0.000885 0.001342 0.001966 0.002770 0.003864
2025-02-02 0.000314 0.000546 0.000877 0.001364 0.002041 0.002927 0.004148
2025-02-09 0.000279 0.000506 0.000839 0.001342 0.002055 0.003003 0.004327
2025-02-16 0.000247 0.000468 0.000801 0.001316 0.002061 0.003065 0.004488
2025-02-23 0.000229 0.000450 0.000792 0.001331 0.002122 0.003204 0.004751
2025-03-02 0.000212 0.000433 0.000784 0.001347 0.002187 0.003351 0.005033
2025-03-09 0.000186 0.000397 0.000744 0.001314 0.002179 0.003395 0.005174
2025-03-16 0.000162 0.000364 0.000705 0.001277 0.002163 0.003426 0.005297
2025-03-23 0.000147 0.000345 0.000687 0.001274 0.002196 0.003526 0.005517
2025-03-30 0.000134 0.000327 0.000672 0.001272 0.002231 0.003629 0.005742
2025-04-06 0.000120 0.000307 0.000649 0.001258 0.002244 0.003700 0.005922
2025-04-13 0.000107 0.000285 0.000622 0.001234 0.002242 0.003748 0.006069
2025-04-20 0.000101 0.000280 0.000624 0.001260 0.002318 0.003913 0.006388
2025-04-27 0.000095 0.000273 0.000623 0.001280 0.002385 0.004066 0.006691
2025-05-04 0.000085 0.000255 0.000600 0.001260 0.002386 0.004118 0.006846
2025-05-11 0.000075 0.000237 0.000575 0.001235 0.002378 0.004156 0.006981